Saturday, November 12, 2005

A Scary Scenario

Want to know what the scariest scenario I have considered for the end of the Iraq insurgency is? How about this: Iraq's army establishes control and is able to restore order. US troops leave. Iran and Syria then invade and divide Iraq in half. Iran gets the Southern portion up to about Baghdad, Syria gets the Western and Northern portions. In other words, Syria gets the Northern oil fields, and Iran gets the Southern fields and there isn't a whole lot the US can do about it short of a major war.

Scary, isn't it. So, we not only need to wait until Iraq has the internal security situation under control, we need to stay on for a while as a defense force until Iraq is able to defend itself against misadventures by it's neighbors.

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